San Francisco Class A is currently rising with 31.5% headline vacancy — trophy is structurally tighter than the broader market suggests.

  • Headline vacancy: 31.5%; trend rising.
  • Cycle is bifurcated: trophy is tight; secondary Class A and Class B are loose.
  • Construction pipeline is largely visible 36–60 months ahead.
  • Use cycle position to time renewal vs. relocation decisions.

San Francisco Class A market cycle position

San Francisco Class A is currently rising with 31.5% headline vacancy — trophy is structurally tighter than the broader market suggests.

TL;DR

  • Headline vacancy: 31.5%; trend rising.
  • Cycle is bifurcated: trophy is tight; secondary Class A and Class B are loose.
  • Construction pipeline is largely visible 36–60 months ahead.
  • Use cycle position to time renewal vs. relocation decisions.

Read the bifurcation

San Francisco's broad Class A index reads 31.5% vacancy and trends rising. That headline masks a real bifurcation — trophy product (Transbay) is structurally tight; older Class A and Class B carry the long tail. Cycle decisions should be made at the submarket and tier level, not at the headline.

Time your decision

For occupiers up at renewal: a softening market favours staying or relocating to better-quality stock at attractive terms. A tightening market favours early renewal and locking in expansion options.

Key facts

citySan Francisco
countryUnited States
regionAmericas
classARentLocal78 USD/sqft/yr
classARentUsd$78/sqft/yr
vacancy31.5%
typicalLeaseYears7
typicalRentFreeMonths22
submarkets6
primeYieldPct6.5%

Frequently asked questions

Where is San Francisco Class A in its cycle?
Headline trend is rising with 31.5% vacancy. Trophy is structurally tighter than the index suggests.

Editorial provenance

Reviewed by Miriam Hollander — Lead market analyst. Last updated 2026-04-15. See our methodology and editorial standards.

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